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Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Braga U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Costa F.
32' Event
Costa F.
68' Event
Costa F.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Pacos Ferreira U19 and Braga U19 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pacos Ferreira U19
30%
Draws
41%
Braga U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Braga U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Braga U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Braga U19 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Pacos Ferreira U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Braga U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacos Ferreira U19 Braga U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 20
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.27 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 2.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Braga U19
0:4
Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Braga U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Braga U19
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Braga U19
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacos Ferreira U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

Braga U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Duarte J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.36
Avg xA / game 1.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacos Ferreira U19 22 / 100
Braga U19 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacos Ferreira U19 Braga U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Pacos Ferreira U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Braga U19 conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Pacos Ferreira U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pacos Ferreira U19 VS Braga U19
1.67 Goals Scored 2.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 88%
83% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacos Ferreira U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Pacos Ferreira U19
3 : 2
Vizela U19
11 Apr
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Pacos Ferreira U19
04 Apr
Pacos Ferreira U19
0 : 4
Braga U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Pacos Ferreira U19
2 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
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Braga U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
05 Sept
Vizela U19
3 : 1
Braga U19
29 Aug
Braga U19
0 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
22 Aug
Braga U19
2 : 0
Feirense U19
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