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Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Chaves U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Baptista T.
63' Event
Lobo T.
74'
Dias R.

AI Match Summary

Pacos Ferreira U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pacos Ferreira U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Pacos Ferreira U19
35%
Draws
40%
Chaves U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chaves U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pacos Ferreira U19 have won more games recently than Chaves U19.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pacos Ferreira U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacos Ferreira U19 Chaves U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.27 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
3:2
Jan 31, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Chaves U19
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Chaves U19
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacos Ferreira U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baptista T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lobo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chaves U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacos Ferreira U19 31 / 100
Chaves U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacos Ferreira U19 Chaves U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Pacos Ferreira U19 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Chaves U19 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Pacos Ferreira U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pacos Ferreira U19 VS Chaves U19
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacos Ferreira U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Pacos Ferreira U19
3 : 2
Vizela U19
11 Apr
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Pacos Ferreira U19
04 Apr
Pacos Ferreira U19
0 : 4
Braga U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Pacos Ferreira U19
2 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Page 1 of 6

Chaves U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Chaves U19
0 : 0
Moreirense U19
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2
Chaves U19
03 Apr
Chaves U19
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2
Chaves U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)