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Pacos Ferreira vs Benfica B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio da Capital do Móvel, Paços de Ferreira
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Fale M.
14'
Banjaqui D.
35'
Parente T.

AI Match Summary

Pacos Ferreira in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pacos Ferreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pacos Ferreira
30%
Draws
54%
Benfica B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Benfica B have won more games recently than Pacos Ferreira.
  • Model gives Benfica B a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 16%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacos Ferreira Benfica B
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.48 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Benfica B
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Pacos Ferreira
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Pacos Ferreira
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Benfica B
0:3
May 5, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Pacos Ferreira
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacos Ferreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Anilson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Benfica B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacos Ferreira 23 / 100
Benfica B 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacos Ferreira Benfica B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Benfica B conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Pacos Ferreira's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pacos Ferreira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pacos Ferreira VS Benfica B
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacos Ferreira

(Home)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2
Pacos Ferreira
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4
Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
Page 1 of 6

Benfica B

(Away)
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2
Benfica B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maritimo 34 20 6 8 50:29 66
2 Academico Viseu 34 17 8 9 58:33 59
3 Torreense 34 18 5 11 46:33 59
4 Vizela 34 14 9 11 39:40 51
5 FC Porto B 34 15 6 13 41:42 51
6 Leiria 34 13 11 10 52:46 50
7 Leixoes 34 15 5 14 46:55 50
8 Feirense 34 12 10 12 37:40 46
9 Chaves 34 13 6 15 42:40 45
10 Benfica B 34 11 11 12 43:44 44
11 FC Felgueiras 34 11 11 12 34:38 44
12 Lusitania FC 34 11 10 13 44:52 43
13 Sporting CP B 34 13 3 18 41:34 42
14 Penafiel 34 11 8 15 37:39 41
15 Portimonense 34 11 7 16 39:49 40
16 SC Farense 34 10 10 14 31:37 40
17 Pacos Ferreira 34 9 12 13 34:48 39
18 Oliveirense 34 8 10 16 34:49 34
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)