Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos Ferreira

1 - 2

Feirense

Our Tip

Match Events

Nketia D.

Assist: Oliveira J.

10'

Ribeiro T.

Assist: Nketia D.

26'

Costa D.

Assist: Lumungo R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Pacos Ferreira and Feirense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Feirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Pacos Ferreira

33%

Draws

27%

Feirense

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pacos Ferreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Pacos Ferreira's 1 goals per match outpaces what Feirense have produced (0.75).
Win probability leans Pacos Ferreira's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 68%

Feirense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pacos Ferreira	Feirense
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	10	10
Draws	9	8
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga Portugal 2

Pacos Ferreira vs Feirense

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Dec 20, 2025 Liga Portugal 2

Feirense vs Pacos Ferreira

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Feb 15, 2025 Liga Portugal 2

Pacos Ferreira vs Feirense

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Sep 16, 2024 Liga Portugal 2

Feirense vs Pacos Ferreira

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Feb 26, 2024 Liga Portugal 2

Pacos Ferreira vs Feirense

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacos Ferreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Feirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Nketia D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ribeiro T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacos Ferreira 50 / 100

Feirense 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pacos Ferreira Feirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pacos Ferreira found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Feirense conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pacos Ferreira remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pacos Ferreira VS Feirense

1 Goals Scored 0.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maritimo	34	20	6	8	50:29	66
2	Academico Viseu	34	17	8	9	58:33	59
3	Torreense	34	18	5	11	46:33	59
4	Vizela	34	14	9	11	39:40	51
5	FC Porto B	34	15	6	13	41:42	51
6	Leiria	34	13	11	10	52:46	50
7	Leixoes	34	15	5	14	46:55	50
8	Feirense	34	12	10	12	37:40	46
9	Chaves	34	13	6	15	42:40	45
10	Benfica B	34	11	11	12	43:44	44
11	FC Felgueiras	34	11	11	12	34:38	44
12	Lusitania FC	34	11	10	13	44:52	43
13	Sporting CP B	34	13	3	18	41:34	42
14	Penafiel	34	11	8	15	37:39	41
15	Portimonense	34	11	7	16	39:49	40
16	SC Farense	34	10	10	14	31:37	40
17	Pacos Ferreira	34	9	12	13	34:48	39
18	Oliveirense	34	8	10	16	34:49	34