Sport Picks
Pacos Ferreira vs Feirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio da Capital do Móvel, Paços de Ferreira 
Match Events
6'
6'
Nketia D.
Assist: Oliveira J.
10'
10'
Ribeiro T.
Assist: Nketia D.
26'
26'
Costa D.
Assist: Lumungo R.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Pacos Ferreira and Feirense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Feirense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pacos Ferreira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Feirense come out ahead of Pacos Ferreira on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Pacos Ferreira's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 68%
Feirense Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pacos Ferreira | Feirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Feirense
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Pacos Ferreira
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Feirense
1:2
Sep 16, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Pacos Ferreira
2:0
Feb 26, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Feirense
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pacos Ferreira Compare
Top Goalscorer Costa D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Feirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Nketia D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ribeiro T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pacos Ferreira 50 / 100
Feirense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pacos Ferreira Feirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pacos Ferreira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Feirense has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Feirense conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Pacos Ferreira found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Pacos Ferreira VS Feirense
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pacos Ferreira
(Home) 13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2 Pacos Ferreira
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4 Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4 Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
29 Jul
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 0 FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 4
Feirense
(Away) 19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0 Feirense
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0 Feirense
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3 Sporting CP B
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0 Feirense
24 Aug
Feirense
0 : 1 FC Porto B
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0 Feirense
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0 Feirense
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0 Feirense
14 Aug
Academica
1 : 0 Feirense
01 Aug
Uniao Lamas
3 : 2 Feirense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
