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Pacy Eure vs Lucon

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CFA - Group D 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
29' Event
48' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lucon in this CFA - Group D 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Pacy Eure
30%
Draws
12%
Lucon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pacy Eure

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lucon have won more games recently than Pacy Eure.
  • Pacy Eure are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pacy Eure Clean Sheet 16%
Lucon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacy Eure Lucon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Pacy Eure vs Lucon
0:4
Sep 17, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Lucon vs Pacy Eure
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacy Eure 75 / 100
Lucon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacy Eure Lucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pacy Eure Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pacy Eure found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Lucon let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Pacy Eure remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lucon
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacy Eure

(Home)
02 Jun
La Vitreenne
0 : 1
Pacy Eure
26 May
Pacy Eure
1 : 1
Pontivy
19 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 1
Pacy Eure
12 May
Pacy Eure
2 : 2
Fontenay
04 May
Romorantin
3 : 1
Pacy Eure
Page 1 of 6

Lucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carquefou 34 21 8 5 52:23 105
2 Lucon 34 21 8 5 63:38 105
3 Avranches 34 19 6 9 53:33 97
4 Plabennec 34 15 11 8 55:41 90
5 Romorantin 34 16 7 11 58:33 89
6 Les Herbiers 34 14 9 11 40:40 85
7 Concarneau 34 13 7 14 49:44 80
8 Mantes 34 13 7 14 45:44 79
9 Saumur Olympique 34 11 10 13 38:43 77
10 Le Havre II 34 12 7 15 46:55 77
11 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 5 17 43:45 75
12 Le Mans II 34 10 11 13 41:47 75
13 Fontenay 34 10 9 15 30:43 73
14 Pacy Eure 34 10 9 15 34:49 73
15 Caen II 34 9 11 14 34:42 72
16 Pontivy 34 8 13 13 29:37 71
17 Lorient II 34 9 9 16 38:55 70
18 La Vitreenne 34 5 9 20 24:60 57
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)