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Paderborn II vs Bergisch Gladbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paderborn II host Bergisch Gladbach in the Regionalliga West. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Paderborn II have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Bergisch Gladbach's 2.62 scored and 1.9 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.06 - 1.88) back Bergisch Gladbach to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Paderborn II
15%
Draws
36%
Bergisch Gladbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paderborn II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergisch Gladbach come out ahead of Paderborn II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Paderborn II a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Paderborn II Clean Sheet 10%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn II Bergisch Gladbach
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.66 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn II 38 / 100
Bergisch Gladbach 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn II Bergisch Gladbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paderborn II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergisch Gladbach has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Paderborn II's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bergisch Gladbach lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Recent resilience: Paderborn II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn II VS Bergisch Gladbach
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn II

(Home)
10 Oct
Lotte
1 : 0
Paderborn II
04 Oct
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
4 : 0
Paderborn II
25 Sept
Gutersloh
1 : 3
Paderborn II
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
12 Sept
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0
Paderborn II
Page 1 of 6

Bergisch Gladbach

(Away)
17 Oct
B. Monchengladbach II
2 : 1
Bergisch Gladbach
10 Oct
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 5
Schalke II
03 Oct
Hilden
4 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
26 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 2
Westfalia Rhynern
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 13 10 1 2 32:13 31
2 Dortmund II 13 9 4 0 30:15 31
3 B. Monchengladbach II 13 8 2 3 29:15 26
4 Gutersloh 13 8 2 3 28:19 26
5 Siegen 13 6 4 3 27:19 22
6 Koln II 13 6 2 5 26:23 20
7 Schalke II 13 6 1 6 27:25 19
8 Bonner 13 4 6 3 26:23 18
9 Westfalia Rhynern 13 5 3 5 21:24 18
10 Hilden 13 5 3 5 18:23 18
11 Bocholt 13 4 4 5 26:29 16
12 Bergisch Gladbach 13 5 1 7 21:29 16
13 Bochum II 12 4 2 6 20:25 14
14 Paderborn II 12 3 4 5 19:23 13
15 SG Wattenscheid 13 3 3 7 19:25 12
16 Rodinghausen 13 2 3 8 22:29 9
17 Wiedenbruck 13 2 2 9 18:35 8
18 Lotte 13 1 3 9 8:23 6
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)