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Paderborn II vs Dortmund II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Wessels A.
34' Event
Lima Stacziwa N.
85'
Pruhs F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West game between Paderborn II and Dortmund II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Paderborn II
15%
Draws
67%
Dortmund II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dortmund II come out ahead of Paderborn II on wins alone.
  • Dortmund II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Paderborn II Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn II Dortmund II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.61 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs Dortmund II
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Regionalliga West
Dortmund II vs Paderborn II
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs Dortmund II
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn II Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima Stacziwa N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dortmund II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wessels A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn II 10 / 100
Dortmund II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn II Dortmund II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paderborn II's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dortmund II let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Paderborn II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn II VS Dortmund II
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn II

(Home)
10 Oct
Lotte
1 : 0
Paderborn II
04 Oct
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
4 : 0
Paderborn II
25 Sept
Gutersloh
1 : 3
Paderborn II
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
12 Sept
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0
Paderborn II
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Dortmund II

(Away)
23 Oct
Dortmund II
2 : 0
Bonner
17 Oct
Wiedenbruck
2 : 4
Dortmund II
10 Oct
Dortmund II
3 : 2
SG Wattenscheid
04 Oct
Siegen
1 : 3
Dortmund II
26 Sept
Dortmund II
4 : 2
Bocholt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund II 14 10 4 0 32:15 34
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 13 10 1 2 32:13 31
3 Gutersloh 14 9 2 3 31:20 29
4 B. Monchengladbach II 13 8 2 3 29:15 26
5 Siegen 13 6 4 3 27:19 22
6 Koln II 13 6 2 5 26:23 20
7 Schalke II 13 6 1 6 27:25 19
8 Bonner 14 4 6 4 26:25 18
9 Westfalia Rhynern 13 5 3 5 21:24 18
10 Hilden 13 5 3 5 18:23 18
11 Bocholt 13 4 4 5 26:29 16
12 Bergisch Gladbach 13 5 1 7 21:29 16
13 Bochum II 12 4 2 6 20:25 14
14 Paderborn II 12 3 4 5 19:23 13
15 SG Wattenscheid 13 3 3 7 19:25 12
16 Rodinghausen 13 2 3 8 22:29 9
17 Wiedenbruck 14 2 2 10 19:38 8
18 Lotte 13 1 3 9 8:23 6
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)