Sport Picks
Paderborn II vs Rodinghausen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga West 2025/2026 
Match Events
39'
39'
Ermolaev G.
81'
81'
Kiewitt L.
AI Match Summary
Paderborn II in this Regionalliga West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paderborn II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paderborn II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paderborn II lately — more wins on the board than Rodinghausen.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Paderborn II Clean Sheet 16%
Rodinghausen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paderborn II | Rodinghausen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs Paderborn II
1:1
May 16, 2026 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs Rodinghausen
2:0
Nov 28, 2025 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs Paderborn II
2:1
May 10, 2025 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs Paderborn II
4:2
Nov 24, 2024 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs Rodinghausen
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paderborn II Compare
Top Goalscorer Ermolaev G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kiewitt L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Rodinghausen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paderborn II 30 / 100
Rodinghausen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paderborn II Rodinghausen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paderborn II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Rodinghausen conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Paderborn II scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Paderborn II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Paderborn II VS Rodinghausen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Paderborn II
(Home) 04 Oct
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
4 : 0 Paderborn II
25 Sept
Gutersloh
1 : 3 Paderborn II
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1 Dortmund II
12 Sept
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0 Paderborn II
06 Sept
Paderborn II
5 : 2 SG Wattenscheid
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1 Dortmund II
06 Sept
Paderborn II
5 : 2 SG Wattenscheid
29 Aug
Paderborn II
2 : 4 Bocholt
23 Aug
Paderborn II
1 : 1 Bonner
08 Aug
Paderborn II
1 : 3 B. Monchengladbach II
Page 1 of 4
Rodinghausen
(Away) 03 Oct
Rodinghausen
2 : 1 Lotte
27 Sept
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 1 Rodinghausen
18 Sept
Rodinghausen
1 : 1 Gutersloh
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2 Rodinghausen
05 Sept
Rodinghausen
2 : 3 Wiedenbruck
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 1 Rodinghausen
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2 Rodinghausen
02 Sept
SG Wattenscheid
2 : 1 Rodinghausen
22 Aug
Bocholt
2 : 2 Rodinghausen
01 Aug
B. Monchengladbach II
2 : 0 Rodinghausen
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortuna Koln | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 71:30 | 70 |
| 2 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 60:40 | 66 |
| 3 | Schalke II | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 77:50 | 61 |
| 4 | Gutersloh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Dortmund II | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 66:50 | 58 |
| 6 | B. Monchengladbach II | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 61:46 | 58 |
| 7 | Siegen | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62:43 | 54 |
| 8 | Paderborn II | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 52:38 | 46 |
| 9 | Bonner | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 38:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Koln II | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55:63 | 45 |
| 11 | Lotte | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45:55 | 45 |
| 12 | Dusseldorf II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:58 | 40 |
| 13 | Bocholt | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 49:57 | 39 |
| 14 | Bochum II | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 50:62 | 39 |
| 15 | Rodinghausen | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 46:63 | 29 |
| 16 | Wiedenbruck | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 39:65 | 29 |
| 17 | Wuppertaler | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36:70 | 26 |
| 18 | SSVg Velbert | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 35:72 | 25 |
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)
