Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paderborn vs Hertha Berlin

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Klaas S.
Assist: Obermair R.
20' Event
Scheller T.
35'
Sub
Klaas S. In: Batzner N.
Out: Klaas S.

AI Match Summary

Paderborn in this 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paderborn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Paderborn
6%
Draws
90%
Hertha Berlin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hertha Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hertha Berlin average 3.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Paderborn's 1.63.
  • Hertha Berlin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 10%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn Hertha Berlin
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.63 3.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Hertha Berlin
5:2
Sep 20, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Paderborn
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Hertha Berlin
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Paderborn
1:2
Apr 5, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Hertha Berlin
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn Compare

Top Goalscorer Klaas S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scheller T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hertha Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Schuler L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brekalo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn 10 / 100
Hertha Berlin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn Hertha Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paderborn found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Paderborn remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hertha Berlin let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn VS Hertha Berlin
1.63 Goals Scored 3.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn

(Home)
17 Jul
Paderborn
3 : 1
Okayama
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1
Wolfsburg
21 May
Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Paderborn
17 May
Darmstadt
0 : 2
Paderborn
08 May
Paderborn
2 : 2
Karlsruher
Page 1 of 6

Hertha Berlin

(Away)
21 Jul
Hertha Berlin
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
17 Jul
Hertha Berlin
3 : 2
Tirol
11 Jul
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
08 Jul
Lichtenberg
0 : 9
Hertha Berlin
04 Jul
Frohnauer SC
0 : 15
Hertha Berlin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Schalke34217650:3170
2Elversberg34188864:3962
3Paderborn34188859:4562
4Hannover341612660:4460
5Darmstadt341313857:4552
6Kaiserslautern341641452:4752
7Hertha Berlin341491147:4451
8Nurnberg3412101247:4546
9Bochum3411111249:4744
10Karlsruher341281453:6444
11Dresden341181554:5341
12Holstein Kiel341181544:4841
13Arminia Bielefeld341091553:5139
14Magdeburg341231952:5839
15Braunschweig341071736:5437
16Greuther Furth341071749:6837
17Dusseldorf341141933:5337
18Preussen Munster346121638:6130
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)