Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paderborn vs Magdeburg

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Obermair R.
9'
Hansen M.
11'
Zukowski M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Paderborn and Magdeburg finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paderborn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Paderborn
20%
Draws
56%
Magdeburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Magdeburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Magdeburg come out ahead of Paderborn on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Magdeburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 13%
Magdeburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn Magdeburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.83 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Magdeburg
4:3
Nov 9, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Paderborn
0:1
May 10, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Magdeburg
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Paderborn
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Magdeburg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilbija F.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Magdeburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Musonda L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zukowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn 10 / 100
Magdeburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn Magdeburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magdeburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paderborn found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Magdeburg let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Paderborn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn VS Magdeburg
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn

(Home)
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0
Paderborn
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1
Freiburg
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0
Paderborn
23 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
2 : 4
Paderborn
08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Paderborn
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Magdeburg

(Away)
12 Sept
Magdeburg
3 : 0
Kaiserslautern
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0
Holstein Kiel
23 Aug
Bahlinger
0 : 4
Magdeburg
15 Aug
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 3
Magdeburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 34 21 7 6 50:31 70
2 Elversberg 34 18 8 8 64:39 62
3 Paderborn 34 18 8 8 59:45 62
4 Hannover 34 16 12 6 60:44 60
5 Darmstadt 34 13 13 8 57:45 52
6 Kaiserslautern 34 16 4 14 52:47 52
7 Hertha Berlin 34 14 9 11 47:44 51
8 Nurnberg 34 12 10 12 47:45 46
9 Bochum 34 11 11 12 49:47 44
10 Karlsruher 34 12 8 14 53:64 44
11 Dresden 34 11 8 15 54:53 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 10 9 15 53:51 39
14 Magdeburg 34 12 3 19 52:58 39
15 Braunschweig 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
16 Greuther Furth 34 10 7 17 49:68 37
17 Dusseldorf 34 11 4 19 33:53 37
18 Preussen Munster 34 6 12 16 38:61 30
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)