Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Klaas S.
(Penalty)
29'
29'
Curda L.
31'
31'
Janisch T.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Paderborn and Nurnberg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paderborn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
30%
38%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nurnberg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Nurnberg's 2.17 goals per match outpaces what Paderborn have produced (1.79).
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Paderborn have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 10%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paderborn | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Nurnberg
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Paderborn
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Paderborn
2:3
Nov 22, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Nurnberg
3:2
Apr 19, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Paderborn
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paderborn Compare
Top Goalscorer Curda L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Nurnberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Lochoshvili L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paderborn 30 / 100
Nurnberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paderborn Nurnberg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paderborn scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Paderborn has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Nurnberg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Paderborn VS Nurnberg
1.75 Goals Scored 3.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Paderborn
(Home) 08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
01 Aug
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 2 Paderborn
17 Jul
Paderborn
3 : 1 Okayama
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1 Wolfsburg
21 May
Wolfsburg
0 : 0 Paderborn
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Paderborn
3 : 1 Okayama
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1 Wolfsburg
08 May
Paderborn
2 : 2 Karlsruher
26 Apr
Paderborn
2 : 3 Schalke
12 Apr
Paderborn
4 : 3 Magdeburg
Page 1 of 3
Nurnberg
(Away) 15 Aug
Greuther Furth
2 : 4 Nurnberg
09 Aug
Nurnberg
3 : 0 Dresden
01 Aug
Nurnberg
2 : 1 Real Oviedo
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2 Nurnberg
18 Jul
Nurnberg
3 : 2 Mannheim
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Greuther Furth
2 : 4 Nurnberg
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2 Nurnberg
11 Jul
Ansbach
1 : 5 Nurnberg
08 Jul
TSV Kornburg
0 : 10 Nurnberg
17 May
Hannover
3 : 3 Nurnberg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 52 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 46 |
| 9 | Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | 39 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | 37 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | 30 |
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
