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Padova vs Mestre

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Padova in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Padova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Padova
20%
Draws
40%
Mestre
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mestre have won more games recently than Padova.
  • Model gives Padova a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Padova have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Padova Clean Sheet 20%
Mestre Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padova Mestre
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Padova vs Mestre
2:0
Aug 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Mestre vs Padova
1:2
Mar 25, 2018 Serie C - Group B
Mestre vs Padova
0:0
Nov 8, 2017 Serie C - Group B
Padova vs Mestre
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padova 40 / 100
Mestre 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padova Mestre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padova found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Mestre has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Padova has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Padova VS Mestre
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Padova

(Home)
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4
Padova
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Mestre

(Away)
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
19 Apr
Mestre
1 : 1
Legnago Salus
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
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