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Padova vs Verona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Euganeo, Padova
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Fusi P.
24'
Pastina C.
25' Event
Edmundsson A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Padova and Verona finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Padova
15%
Draws
54%
Verona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Verona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Verona come out ahead of Padova on wins alone.
  • Model gives Verona a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Padova Clean Sheet 14%
Verona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padova Verona
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie B
Padova vs Verona
1:1
Jan 20, 2019 Serie B
Padova vs Verona
3:0
Aug 26, 2018 Serie B
Verona vs Padova
1:1
Mar 4, 2013 Serie B
Verona vs Padova
0:2
Oct 5, 2012 Serie B
Padova vs Verona
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padova 19 / 100
Verona 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padova Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Padova found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Padova stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Padova VS Verona
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Padova

(Home)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
Page 1 of 6

Verona

(Away)
02 Oct
Lugano
1 : 3
Verona
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)