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Padroense vs Ribeirao

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense Logo

Padroense

1 - 2
FT
Ribeirao Logo

Ribeirao

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Norte game between Padroense and Ribeirao finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ribeirao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Padroense
30%
Draws
23%
Ribeirao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Padroense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ribeirao come out ahead of Padroense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Padroense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Padroense Clean Sheet 20%
Ribeirao Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padroense Ribeirao
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.77 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Ribeirao vs Padroense
3:0
Dec 22, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs Ribeirao
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padroense 40 / 100
Ribeirao 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padroense Ribeirao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padroense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ribeirao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Ribeirao registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Padroense scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ribeirao
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Padroense

(Home)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
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Ribeirao

(Away)
07 Apr
Ribeirao
1 : 1
AD Limianos
24 Mar
Tirsense
3 : 0
Ribeirao
17 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 1
CDC Montalegre
09 Mar
Brito
4 : 0
Ribeirao
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)