Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 game between Padura and Derio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Derio carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Padura a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Padura | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Padura Compare
Derio Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Derio conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Padura scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Padura went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Padura
(Home)Derio
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basconia | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 89:32 | 76 |
| 2 | Portugalete | 34 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 66:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Leioa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55:34 | 66 |
| 4 | Beasain | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 53:34 | 64 |
| 5 | SD Deusto | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 43:35 | 54 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 41:41 | 48 |
| 7 | Touring KE | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:45 | 48 |
| 8 | Derio | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 39:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Eibar C | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46:51 | 46 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:45 | 44 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:49 | 42 |
| 12 | San Ignacio | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 32:41 | 42 |
| 13 | SCD Durango | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 43:37 | 40 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 45:60 | 39 |
| 15 | Santurtzi | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 46:43 | 38 |
| 16 | Urduliz FT | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:56 | 36 |
| 17 | Padura | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:48 | 29 |
| 18 | San Viator | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 21:91 | 8 |
