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PAE Egaleo vs Athens Kallithea

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Faisal K.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 2025/2026 game between PAE Egaleo and Athens Kallithea finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAE Egaleo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
PAE Egaleo
15%
Draws
32%
Athens Kallithea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PAE Egaleo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Athens Kallithea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives PAE Egaleo a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
PAE Egaleo Clean Sheet 68%
Athens Kallithea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAE Egaleo Athens Kallithea
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Super League 2
Athens Kallithea vs PAE Egaleo
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Athens Kallithea
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Super League 2
Athens Kallithea vs PAE Egaleo
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Athens Kallithea
1:2
Jan 28, 2024 Super League 2
Athens Kallithea vs PAE Egaleo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAE Egaleo Compare

Top Goalscorer Faisal K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Athens Kallithea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAE Egaleo 68 / 100
Athens Kallithea 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAE Egaleo Athens Kallithea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAE Egaleo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Athens Kallithea conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: PAE Egaleo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Athens Kallithea's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

PAE Egaleo VS Athens Kallithea
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PAE Egaleo

(Home)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
29 Mar
PAE Egaleo
2 : 1
Ellas Syrou
21 Mar
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
PAE Egaleo
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Athens Kallithea

(Away)
20 Sept
Athens Kallithea
2 : 1
Panserraikos
12 Sept
Marko
2 : 1
Athens Kallithea
07 Sept
Athens Kallithea
2 : 1
Niki Volos
17 Aug
Athens Kallithea
1 : 3
AEL Larissa
08 Aug
AEK
4 : 0
Athens Kallithea
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