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PAE Egaleo vs Ellas Syrou

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Tatsis D.
Own Goal
88' Event
Natsos S.

AI Match Summary

Ellas Syrou in this Super League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellas Syrou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
PAE Egaleo
20%
Draws
32%
Ellas Syrou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PAE Egaleo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ellas Syrou have won more games recently than PAE Egaleo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
PAE Egaleo Clean Sheet 68%
Ellas Syrou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAE Egaleo Ellas Syrou
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Ellas Syrou
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs PAE Egaleo
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Ellas Syrou
0:2
Oct 25, 2025 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs PAE Egaleo
0:0
Sep 24, 2025 Greek Cup
Ellas Syrou vs PAE Egaleo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAE Egaleo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ellas Syrou Compare

Top Goalscorer Natsos S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAE Egaleo 41 / 100
Ellas Syrou 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAE Egaleo Ellas Syrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAE Egaleo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ellas Syrou conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

PAE Egaleo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

PAE Egaleo scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

PAE Egaleo VS Ellas Syrou
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PAE Egaleo

(Home)
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
29 Mar
PAE Egaleo
2 : 1
Ellas Syrou
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Ellas Syrou

(Away)
27 Sept
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Pyrgos
19 Sept
Zakynthos
1 : 4
Ellas Syrou
13 Sept
Ellas Syrou
3 : 0
Karditsa
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
24 Aug
Ellas Syrou
1 : 2
Marko
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)