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Pafos vs Akritas Chloraka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Pafos Logo

Pafos

2 - 1
FT
Akritas Chloraka Logo

Akritas Chloraka

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Pepe
82' Event
Castro Y.
85' Event
Anderson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Pafos advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pafos
20%
Draws
23%
Akritas Chloraka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pafos come out ahead of Akritas Chloraka on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pafos a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Pafos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pafos, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pafos have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Pafos Clean Sheet 68%
Akritas Chloraka Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos Akritas Chloraka
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.65 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cyprus League
Akritas Chloraka vs Pafos
0:4
Jan 7, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Pafos vs Akritas Chloraka
2:1
Dec 5, 2025 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Akritas Chloraka
4:0
Jan 17, 2023 Cyprus Cup
Pafos vs Akritas Chloraka
3:1
Dec 23, 2022 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Akritas Chloraka
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Akritas Chloraka Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 59 / 100
Akritas Chloraka 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos Akritas Chloraka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akritas Chloraka has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Pafos found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Pafos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS Akritas Chloraka
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
Page 1 of 7

Akritas Chloraka

(Away)
19 Sept
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 1
ASIL Lysi
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
14 Aug
Paralimni
2 : 3
Akritas Chloraka
15 May
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 2
AEL Limassol
09 May
Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1
Akritas Chloraka
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou 1
Apollon Limassol 5
Karmiotissa 1
Anorthosis 3
ASIL Lysi 0
Ol. Nicosia 2
Omonia Aradippou 4
Ayia Napa 0
APOEL 5
AEZ Zakakiou 0
Achyronas-Onisilos 0
Apea Akrotiriou 2
Kitiou 0
Achnas 4
Paralimni 2
Halkanoras 0
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK Larnaca -
Aris Limassol 2
Omonia 29th May 1
Ethnikos Latsion 1
AEL Limassol 2
Krasava 1
Nea Salamis 2
TBD -
Digenis Akritas -
Pafos -
TBD -
Akritas Chloraka 5
Doxa 2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol 2
Anorthosis 0
Ol. Nicosia 3
Omonia Aradippou 4
APOEL 1
Apea Akrotiriou 0
Achnas 1
Paralimni 2
Omonia 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Aris Limassol 0
AEL Limassol 1
Nea Salamis 2
Digenis Akritas 3
Pafos 2
Akritas Chloraka 1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol 3
Omonia Aradippou 2
APOEL 3
Paralimni 2
Omonia 1
AEL Limassol 2
Digenis Akritas 0
Pafos 3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol 4
APOEL 2
AEL Limassol 2
Pafos 5
Final
Apollon Limassol 0
Pafos 2