Sport Picks
Paganese vs Martina Calcio
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani 
Match Events
14'
14'
Mancino A.
24'
24'
Silvestro M.
36'
36'
El Haddadi A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Paganese and Martina Calcio finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paganese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paganese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Martina Calcio come out ahead of Paganese on wins alone.
- Paganese are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Paganese Clean Sheet 68%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paganese | Martina Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Paganese
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Paganese vs Martina Calcio
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Paganese
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Paganese
3:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Paganese vs Martina Calcio
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paganese Compare
Top Goalscorer Mancino A.
1 Goals Assists Leader El Haddadi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Martina Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Silvestro M.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Angelis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paganese 50 / 100
Martina Calcio 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paganese Martina Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paganese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Paganese scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Paganese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Martina Calcio let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Paganese VS Martina Calcio
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Paganese
(Home) 27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3 Gelbison
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6 Paganese
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0 Afragolese
12 Sept
Latte Dolce
2 : 3 Paganese
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1 Unipomezia
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27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3 Gelbison
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0 Afragolese
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1 Unipomezia
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0 SS Nola 1925
11 Apr
Paganese
1 : 1 Afragolese
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Martina Calcio
(Away) 27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3 Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3 Martina Calcio
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1 Martina Calcio
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0 Martina Calcio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
