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Paganese vs Pomezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Maggio D.
77' Event
D'Agostino S.

AI Match Summary

Paganese in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paganese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Paganese
15%
Draws
51%
Pomezia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pomezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paganese lately — more wins on the board than Pomezia.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Paganese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Paganese Clean Sheet 68%
Pomezia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paganese Pomezia
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 23 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.37 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.98 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Paganese vs Pomezia
2:0
Dec 18, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Pomezia vs Paganese
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paganese Compare

Top Goalscorer Maggio D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Agostino S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Pomezia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paganese 95 / 100
Pomezia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paganese Pomezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paganese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pomezia has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Paganese found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (41 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pomezia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paganese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paganese

(Home)
07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2
Real Normanna
04 Oct
Sarnese
2 : 1
Paganese
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0
Afragolese
Page 1 of 9

Pomezia

(Away)
21 May
Angri
3 : 0
Pomezia
14 May
SS Nola 1925
0 : 1
Pomezia
07 May
Pomezia
2 : 5
SS Nola 1925
30 Apr
Paganese
2 : 0
Pomezia
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)