Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group H Stadio Marcello Torre

Paganese

1 - 0

Pompei

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

El Haddadi A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Paganese and Pompei finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paganese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Paganese

39%

Draws

30%

Pompei

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Paganese carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%

Paganese Clean Sheet 13%

Pompei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paganese	Pompei
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	8
Draws	6	4
Losses	8	18
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H

Paganese vs Pompei

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H

Pompei vs Paganese

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 4 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paganese Compare

Top Goalscorer El Haddadi A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Pompei Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paganese 31 / 100

Pompei 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paganese Pompei

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pompei's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Paganese found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Paganese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Paganese VS Pompei

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barletta	34	20	10	4	54:20	70
2	Martina Calcio	34	18	8	8	47:30	62
3	Citta di Fasano	34	18	8	8	51:35	62
4	Paganese	34	17	7	10	36:32	58
5	A.C.D. Nardo	34	14	13	7	40:27	55
6	Gravina	34	16	7	11	50:40	55
7	Afragolese	34	13	10	11	45:46	49
8	Fidelis Andria	34	13	9	12	35:28	48
9	Virtus Francavilla	34	12	12	10	45:40	48
10	Real Normanna	34	10	13	11	27:26	43
11	Francavilla	34	11	10	13	39:38	43
12	Manfredonia	34	11	10	13	34:39	43
13	Sarnese	34	9	14	11	51:49	41
14	SS Nola 1925	34	11	8	15	42:50	41
15	Heraclea	34	10	8	16	31:39	38
16	Pompei	34	9	7	18	26:38	34
17	Ferrandina	34	7	9	18	21:43	30
18	Acerrana	34	3	5	26	20:74	14