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Pago Youth vs Kiwi

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kiwi in this OFC Champions League 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kiwi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pago Youth
20%
Draws
60%
Kiwi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kiwi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kiwi have won more games recently than Pago Youth.
  • Model gives Pago Youth a 20% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Kiwi have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Pago Youth Clean Sheet 10%
Kiwi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pago Youth Kiwi
Matches Played 14 21
Wins 0 9
Draws 3 0
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.93 2.48
Goals Conceded 5.14 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2019 OFC Champions League
Kiwi vs Pago Youth
4:3
Oct 16, 2013 OFC Champions League
Kiwi vs Pago Youth
5:1
May 1, 2012 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Kiwi
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pago Youth 56 / 100
Kiwi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pago Youth Kiwi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pago Youth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kiwi conceded in 95% of 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.33 goals per match.

Pago Youth's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Difficult form: Kiwi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pago Youth VS Kiwi
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
4.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pago Youth

(Home)
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
02 Feb
Pago Youth
2 : 2
Nukuhetulu
30 Jan
Vaivase-Tai
1 : 1
Pago Youth
02 Feb
Tupapa
2 : 1
Pago Youth
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 3

Kiwi

(Away)
01 Mar
Ba
5 : 1
Kiwi
26 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 13
Team Wellington
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupapa 3 2 1 0 14:4 7
2 Lotohaapai 3 2 1 0 11:4 7
3 Kiwi 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
4 Pago Youth 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Additional Qualification)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Additional Qualification)