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Pago Youth vs Lupe ole Soaga

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Pago Youth Logo

Pago Youth

1 - 13
FT
Lupe ole Soaga Logo

Lupe ole Soaga

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Toni L.
15' Event
Ataga S.
25' Event
Toni L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lupe ole Soaga in this OFC Champions League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-13 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lupe ole Soaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pago Youth
20%
Draws
60%
Lupe ole Soaga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lupe ole Soaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Lupe ole Soaga have won more games recently than Pago Youth.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Lupe ole Soaga taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pago Youth Clean Sheet 10%
Lupe ole Soaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pago Youth Lupe ole Soaga
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 0 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.93 2.83
Goals Conceded 5.14 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2018 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Lupe ole Soaga
1:13

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pago Youth Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledoux R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Lupe ole Soaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ataga S.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Toni L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pago Youth 10 / 100
Lupe ole Soaga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pago Youth Lupe ole Soaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupe ole Soaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 14.00 goals.

Pago Youth scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Lupe ole Soaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Lupe ole Soaga lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pago Youth VS Lupe ole Soaga
1.33 Goals Scored 1
2.83 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pago Youth

(Home)
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
02 Feb
Pago Youth
2 : 2
Nukuhetulu
30 Jan
Vaivase-Tai
1 : 1
Pago Youth
02 Feb
Tupapa
2 : 1
Pago Youth
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 3

Lupe ole Soaga

(Away)
20 May
Lupe ole Soaga
0 : 3
Auckland City
17 May
Solomon Warriors
3 : 1
Lupe ole Soaga
14 May
Suva
6 : 0
Lupe ole Soaga
24 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
7 : 1
Tupapa
21 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
9 : 0
Veitongo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupapa 3 3 0 0 15:2 9
2 Lupe ole Soaga 3 2 0 1 19:2 6
3 Veitongo 3 0 1 2 3:16 1
4 Pago Youth 3 0 1 2 2:19 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Main)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Main)