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Paide Linnameeskond II vs Kadakas

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2018/2019
Wed, Jul 25, 2018
10 - 4
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond II play Kadakas in the Estonian Cup 2018/2019. Paide Linnameeskond II are favorites here. Recently, Paide Linnameeskond II averaged 4.25 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. Kadakas averaged 2.1 goals scored and 4.81 conceded. In past meetings, Paide Linnameeskond II won 1, Kadakas won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 25, 2018 ended 10:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Paide Linnameeskond II and 2.56 for Kadakas. This points to a Paide Linnameeskond II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Paide Linnameeskond II
15%
Draws
27%
Kadakas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Paide Linnameeskond II picked up more points recently compared to Kadakas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 57%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Paide Linnameeskond II Clean Sheet 10%
Kadakas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond II Kadakas
Matches Played 16 21
Wins 7 7
Draws 1 0
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 4.25 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.63 4.81
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 7.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2018 Estonian Cup
Paide Linnameeskond II vs Kadakas
10:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond II Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdei V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Varendi L.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Kadakas Compare

Top Goalscorer Meer J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond II 54 / 100
Kadakas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond II Kadakas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Paide Linnameeskond II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.4%
1.12
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paide Linnameeskond II attacking → ← attacking Kadakas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond II scored in 75% of their last 16 games.

Kadakas let in goals in 95% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 14.00 goals.

Paide Linnameeskond II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kadakas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 21
3.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.86
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 7.00