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Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Narva U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Baljabkin N.
36' Event
Besigirskis A.
42'
Kudriashov V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paide Linnameeskond U21
15%
Draws
45%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva U21 lately — more wins on the board than Paide Linnameeskond U21.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond U21 Narva U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.8 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Narva U21
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
3:0
May 5, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Narva U21
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmaa H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Besigirskis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond U21 31 / 100
Narva U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Paide Linnameeskond U21's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Narva U21 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Paide Linnameeskond U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Narva U21
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond U21

(Home)
21 Feb
Paide Linnameeskond U21
0 : 1
Valmiera
22 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
15 Nov
Tulevik
5 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21
09 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
2 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
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Narva U21

(Away)
23 Aug
Tulevik
3 : 3
Narva U21
19 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Narva U21
15 Aug
Narva U21
1 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
09 Aug
Legion
1 : 3
Narva U21
01 Aug
Narva U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)