Sport Picks
Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2025/2026 Paide linnastaadion, Paide 
Match Events
21'
21'
Piht K.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Petrunin D.
26'
26'
Jobarteh M.
AI Match Summary
Paide Linnameeskond in this Estonian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paide Linnameeskond lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Paide Linnameeskond taking it.
- Paide Linnameeskond have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Paide Linnameeskond, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 68%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paide Linnameeskond | Tallinna Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 2.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2026 Estonian Cup
Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
6:0
Sep 17, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paide Linnameeskond Compare
Top Goalscorer Luts D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jobarteh M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Tallinna Kalev Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paide Linnameeskond 95 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paide Linnameeskond Tallinna Kalev
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paide Linnameeskond scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Tallinna Kalev conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Paide Linnameeskond went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Paide Linnameeskond VS Tallinna Kalev
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Paide Linnameeskond
(Home) 19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2 Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2 Levadia
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2 Levadia
23 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
4 : 1 Nomme Utd
06 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 4 Rapid Vienna
Page 1 of 4
Tallinna Kalev
(Away) 24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0 Tallinna Kalev
20 Aug
Kalju U21
0 : 3 Tallinna Kalev
03 Aug
Viimsi JK
1 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U18 -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
TransferWise -
Tallinna Wolves 6
Soccernet 4
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri III -
Saue JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Maksatransport -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
TBD -
Narva -
Lootus JK Jarve -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 2
Rae Spordikool 4
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Johvi Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose II -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
TalTech JK -
Tamper -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Kose -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
Tartu Kalev 1
Elva 2
TBD -
Legion -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Smsraha -
Tallinna Kalev III -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt 2
FC Lootos Polva 0
Raplamaa 1
Saku Sporting 5
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Kubik 0
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tulevik 6
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Keila JK 5
Kallaste United 2
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Vana Hea Puur 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 1
Tartu JK Welco 16
Kuusalu Kalev 0
TBD -
Tartu Helios -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiine -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Kohvile 0
Helm 4
Levadia -
TBD -
Flora U18 1
Flora Tallinn U21 12
Tabasalu Ulasabat 13
Eston Villa 0
Harju JK Laagri 26
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Wolves 3
Raasiku Joker 4
Nomme Utd 5
Harju JK Laagri III 1
Saue JK Laagri 6
Maksatransport 1
Tartu JK Welco 2 0
Narva 8
Lootus JK Jarve 1
Rae Spordikool 10
FC Tallinn 7
Zealot Sporting 1
Johvi Phoenix -
Kose II -
TBD -
Kalju -
Viimsi JK 7
TalTech JK 1
Tamper 4
Rumori Calcio 2
Kose 0
Kuressaare 7
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora U19 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 0
Elva 3
Legion 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Tallinna Smsraha 7
Tallinna Kalev III 9
EstHam United 0
Hiiumaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 7
FC Hell Hunt 0
Saku Sporting 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 13
Tulevik 0
Jarva-Jaani 1
Keila JK 4
Maardu Aliens 1
JK Poseidon 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Tartu Helios 0
Arukula Vigri 0
Kristiine 4
1/16-finals
Flora 14
Helm 0
Levadia 4
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Raasiku Joker 1
Nomme Utd 4
Saue JK Laagri 0
Narva 4
Rae Spordikool 0
FC Tallinn 9
Johvi Phoenix 1
Kalju 6
Viimsi JK 4
Tamper 1
Kuressaare 1
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Flora U19 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Elva 3
Tallinna Smsraha 2
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
Saku Sporting 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 9
Keila JK 0
JK Poseidon 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Kristiine 0
1/8-finals
Flora 3
Levadia 1
Harju JK Laagri 0
Nomme Utd 1
Narva 6
FC Tallinn 0
Kalju 0
Viimsi JK 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Tammeka Tartu 0
Elva 1
Tallinna Kalev 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
JK Poseidon 0
Tartu JK Welco 6
Quarter-finals
Flora 3
Nomme Utd 1
Narva 4
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Tallinna Kalev 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Tartu JK Welco 1
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Final
Flora 5
Paide Linnameeskond 1
