Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2025/2026 Paide linnastaadion, Paide

Paide Linnameeskond

6 - 0

Tallinna Kalev

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Piht K.

(Penalty)

23'

Petrunin D.

26'

Jobarteh M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond in this Estonian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Paide Linnameeskond

Draws

90%

Tallinna Kalev

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Paide Linnameeskond lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev.
90% — that's where the model lands on Tallinna Kalev taking it.
Paide Linnameeskond have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Paide Linnameeskond, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 16%

Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paide Linnameeskond	Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	12
Draws	6	4
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	1.63	2.13
Goals Conceded	0.75	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Estonian Cup

Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev

6:0

Sep 17, 2025 Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond

0:3

Aug 9, 2025 Meistriliiga

Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev

2:2

Apr 26, 2025 Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev vs Paide Linnameeskond

1:0

Mar 30, 2025 Meistriliiga

Paide Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Luts D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jobarteh M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 10 / 100

Tallinna Kalev 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paide Linnameeskond Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Tallinna Kalev has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Paide Linnameeskond went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Tallinna Kalev

1.63 Goals Scored 2.13

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 100%

13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)

23 Jul

Paide Linnameeskond

1 : 0

Zira FK

19 Jul

Harju JK Laagri

5 : 2

Paide Linnameeskond

16 Jul

Paide Linnameeskond

3 : 0

FC Hegelmann

09 Jul

FC Hegelmann

1 : 1

Paide Linnameeskond

04 Jul

Paide Linnameeskond

3 : 1

Parnu JK Vaprus

Page 1 of 6

Tallinna Kalev

(Away)

23 Jul

Tammeka Tartu U19

0 : 8

Tallinna Kalev

18 Jul

Tallinna Kalev

3 : 1

Nomme Utd U21

11 Jul

Levadia U21

3 : 2

Tallinna Kalev

03 Jul

Tallinna Kalev

3 : 3

Maardu Linnameeskond

21 Jun

Tallinna Kalev

5 : 1

Kalju U21

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Flora-

TBD-

Kohvile-

TBD-

Helm-

Levadia-

TBD-

Flora U18-

TBD-

Flora Tallinn U21-

Tabasalu Ulasabat-

TBD-

Eston Villa-

Harju JK Laagri-

TBD-

TransferWise-

Tallinna Wolves6

Soccernet4

TBD-

Raasiku Joker-

Nomme Utd-

TBD-

Harju JK Laagri III-

Saue JK Laagri-

TBD-

Maksatransport-

Tartu JK Welco 2-

TBD-

Narva-

Lootus JK Jarve-

TBD-

JK Arsenal2

Rae Spordikool4

FC Tallinn-

TBD-

Zealot Sporting-

Johvi Phoenix-

TBD-

Kose II-

TBD-

Kalju-

Viimsi JK-

TBD-

TalTech JK-

Tamper-

TBD-

Rumori Calcio-

Kose-

TBD-

Kuressaare-

TBD-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Flora U19-

TBD-

Vastseliina Tannem-

Tammeka Tartu-

TBD-

Tabasalu-

Tartu Kalev1

Elva2

TBD-

Legion-

Viimsi Lovid-

TBD-

Tallinna Smsraha-

Tallinna Kalev III-

TBD-

EstHam United-

Hiiumaa-

TBD-

Tallinna Kalev-

Tallinna FC Zapoos-

TBD-

FC Hell Hunt2

FC Lootos Polva0

Raplamaa1

Saku Sporting5

Marjamaa Kompanii4

Kubik0

Parnu JK Vaprus-

TBD-

Olympic Tallinn0

Tulevik6

Jarva-Jaani-

TBD-

Keila JK5

Kallaste United2

Maardu Aliens-

TBD-

JK Poseidon-

Tallinna Kalev U216

Vana Hea Puur0

Laanemaa Haapsalu2

Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond1

Tartu JK Welco16

Kuusalu Kalev0

TBD-

Tartu Helios-

Arukula Vigri-

TBD-

Kristiine-

1/32-finals

Flora-

TBD-

Kohvile0

Helm4

Levadia-

TBD-

Flora U181

Flora Tallinn U2112

Tabasalu Ulasabat13

Eston Villa0

Harju JK Laagri26

TransferWise0

Tallinna Wolves3

Raasiku Joker4

Nomme Utd5

Harju JK Laagri III1

Saue JK Laagri6

Maksatransport1

Tartu JK Welco 20

Narva8

Lootus JK Jarve1

Rae Spordikool10

FC Tallinn7

Zealot Sporting1

Johvi Phoenix-

Kose II-

TBD-

Kalju-

Viimsi JK7

TalTech JK1

Tamper4

Rumori Calcio2

Kose0

Kuressaare7

TBD-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Flora U19-

Vastseliina Tannem-

Tammeka Tartu6

Tabasalu0

Elva3

Legion0

Viimsi Lovid0

Tallinna Smsraha7

Tallinna Kalev III9

EstHam United0

Hiiumaa0

Tallinna Kalev3

Tallinna FC Zapoos7

FC Hell Hunt0

Saku Sporting3

Marjamaa Kompanii2

Parnu JK Vaprus13

Tulevik0

Jarva-Jaani1

Keila JK4

Maardu Aliens1

JK Poseidon4

Tallinna Kalev U212

Laanemaa Haapsalu0

Tartu JK Welco3

Tartu Helios0

Arukula Vigri0

Kristiine4

1/16-finals

Flora14

Helm0

Levadia4

Flora Tallinn U210

Tabasalu Ulasabat0

Harju JK Laagri3

Raasiku Joker1

Nomme Utd4

Saue JK Laagri0

Narva4

Rae Spordikool0

FC Tallinn9

Johvi Phoenix1

Kalju6

Viimsi JK4

Tamper1

Kuressaare1

Paide Linnameeskond2

Flora U191

Tammeka Tartu8

Elva3

Tallinna Smsraha2

Tallinna Kalev III1

Tallinna Kalev8

Tallinna FC Zapoos3

Saku Sporting0

Parnu JK Vaprus9

Keila JK0

JK Poseidon1

Tallinna Kalev U210

Tartu JK Welco8

Kristiine0

1/8-finals

Flora3

Levadia1

Harju JK Laagri0

Nomme Utd1

Narva6

FC Tallinn0

Kalju0

Viimsi JK1

Paide Linnameeskond3

Tammeka Tartu0

Elva1

Tallinna Kalev2

Tallinna FC Zapoos2

Parnu JK Vaprus4

JK Poseidon0

Tartu JK Welco6

Quarter-finals

Flora3

Nomme Utd1

Narva4

Viimsi JK3

Paide Linnameeskond6

Tallinna Kalev0

Parnu JK Vaprus2

Tartu JK Welco1

Semi-finals

Flora1

Narva0

Paide Linnameeskond2

Parnu JK Vaprus0

Final

Flora5

Paide Linnameeskond1