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Paidha Black Angels vs Kataka

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paidha Black Angels in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paidha Black Angels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Paidha Black Angels
39%
Draws
31%
Kataka
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kataka lately — more wins on the board than Paidha Black Angels.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 20%
Kataka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paidha Black Angels Kataka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Kataka
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Big League
Kataka vs Paidha Black Angels
2:1
May 25, 2025 Big League
Kataka vs Paidha Black Angels
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Kataka
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paidha Black Angels 31 / 100
Kataka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paidha Black Angels Kataka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paidha Black Angels scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kataka conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Paidha Black Angels remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paidha Black Angels VS Kataka
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717