Sport Picks

Uganda

Big League

Paidha Black Angels

1 - 0

Mbale Heroes

Our Tip

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paidha Black Angels in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paidha Black Angels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Paidha Black Angels

Draws

Mbale Heroes

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paidha Black Angels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Paidha Black Angels has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mbale Heroes.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Paidha Black Angels.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Big League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 20%

Mbale Heroes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paidha Black Angels	Mbale Heroes
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	6
Draws	7	5
Losses	8	19
Goals Scored	1.38	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.63	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Big League

Paidha Black Angels vs Mbale Heroes

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Oct 6, 2025 Big League

Mbale Heroes vs Paidha Black Angels

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paidha Black Angels 85 / 100

Mbale Heroes 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paidha Black Angels Mbale Heroes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paidha Black Angels scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Mbale Heroes let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Paidha Black Angels went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mbale Heroes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paidha Black Angels VS Mbale Heroes

1.38 Goals Scored 0.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Blacks Power	30	16	7	7	35:18	55
2	Ntugasaze	30	14	11	5	42:22	53
3	Kataka	30	16	3	11	40:26	51
4	Kigezi HomeBoyz	30	14	9	7	36:22	51
5	Paidha Black Angels	30	15	7	8	33:23	50
6	Bunyaruguru	30	12	7	11	31:25	43
7	Young Elephant	30	12	6	12	44:40	42
8	Kiyinda Boys	30	12	6	12	40:31	40
9	Iganga United	30	11	5	14	30:33	38
10	Catda	30	9	10	11	24:32	37
11	Kaaro Karungi	30	10	8	12	26:30	36
12	Onduparaka	30	9	9	12	24:32	36
13	Nebbi Central	30	9	9	12	35:42	34
14	Bright Stars	30	7	11	12	25:31	32
15	Wakiso Giants	30	8	7	15	31:48	31
16	Mbale Heroes	30	6	5	19	14:67	17