Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paimpol vs Avranches

France France

Coupe de France 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Theault T.
75' Event
Thiare J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Avranches advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Paimpol
30%
Draws
47%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Avranches carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Avranches taking it.
  • Avranches arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Avranches, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Paimpol Clean Sheet 19%
Avranches Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paimpol Avranches
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 10
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2015 Coupe de France
Paimpol vs Avranches
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paimpol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Theault T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thiare J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paimpol 12 / 100
Avranches 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paimpol Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Paimpol found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Paimpol went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Avranches
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paimpol

(Home)
17 Nov
Paimpol
0 : 3
Stade Briochin
10 Dec
Paimpol
1 : 2
Challans
19 Nov
Paimpol
2 : 1
Flers
17 Nov
Le Rheu
4 : 3
Paimpol
21 Nov
Paimpol
0 : 2
Avranches
Page 1 of 2

Avranches

(Away)
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
22 Aug
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 3
Avranches
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Libourne 2
Bourges 18 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Le Havre 0
Douai 0
Yvetot 2
Paris FC 1
CMS Oissel 0
Gonfreville 0
Boulogne 6
Niort 5
La Rochelle 1
La Gacilly 0
Les Herbiers 4
Nimes 1
Frontignan AC 0
Lucon 2
Moulins 3
Villefranche 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
GOAL FC 1
Grenoble 3
Schirrhein 2
Reding 0
Magny 0
Sarre Union 1
Saint-Malo 3
Red Star 1
Pirae 5
Pontivy 6
Orvault 3
St. Saturnin 1
Paimpol 0
Avranches 2
Rodeo 2
Perpignan 0
Thiers 0
Stade Bordelais 2
Genets 3
Vic Le Comte 0
Stade Balarucois 1
Stade Montois 7
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ailly sur Somme FC 3
Vimy 1
Sens 0
Chantilly 3
Sainte-Marienne 2
Saint Lo Manche 0
Cholet ASPTT 0
Vertou 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GFC Ajaccio -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colmar 4
Selongey 1
Clouange 0
Raon L Etape 3
De Volvic 1
Nord 17 0
Bourges 2
Gueret 3
Excelsior 1
Poissy 0
Bretigny Foot 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Concarneau 4
Montgermont 0
Zouasia 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 3
St. Renan 3
Liffre 2
Change 2
TA Rennes 3
Dunkerque 3
Reims Ste Anne 0
Aubervilliers 2
SC Hazebrouck 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lege Capferret 4
Agouado 0
Auxerre 1
Limoges 2
Reims -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orleans 7
Sauveur 1
Golden Star 0
Chambly 1
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quevilly 2
Lens 1
St Ouen 2
Sannois 3
Wasquehal 1
Prix les Mezieres 0
Montceau 1
Metz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Sochaux 2
Strasbourg 1
Dinsheim 2
Nancy 4
Alfortville 2
L'Etoile 1
Ebersheim 1
A.S. Pagny 2
Sedan 4
Creil 1
Saint-Amand 0
IC Croix 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Thonon-Evian 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Andrezieux 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Pontcharra St Loup 2
Limonest 1
Gieres 0
Annecy 3
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Istres 0
Saint Die 0
Hauts Lyonnais 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beziers 1
Sete 0
Espaly 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Besancon RC 2
Jura Sud 1
Noisy Le Sec 1
Golden Lion 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Mantes 4
Iracoubo 0
Amiens SC 1
Marck 2
Brest 3
Montagnarde 0
Fougeres 0
Stade Briochin 1
Blanc Mesnil 1
Versailles 0
Balagne Rousse 3
Mainvilliers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Granville 2
SU Dives 0
Viry-Chatillon 1
Saint Nazaire 2
CPB Brequigny 3
Rostrenen 0
La Suze 1
Laval 2
Valenciennes 1
Creteil 0
Borgo FC (Inactive) 0
Beauvais 1
Dijon 9
Veyle Saone 0
Schiltigheim 1
Sarreguemines 2
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Mulhouse 2
Moulien 1
APM Metz 0
St. Louis Neuweg 3
Montelimar 1
Echirolles FC 0
Berre SP 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Trelissac 10
Panazol 0
Blagnac 1
Clermont 3
Montauban 4
Toulouse Saint 2
Colomiers 1
AS Muret 3
Amiens AC 2
Bethune 0
Olympique Marcquois 3
Maubeuge 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besancon FC 4
Chassieu Decines 0
Hienghene Sport 2
Epernay 3
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/64-finals
Lorient -
TBD -
Libourne 0
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Yvetot 1
Paris FC 1
Boulogne 3
Niort 3
Les Herbiers 1
Nimes 0
Moulins 1
Villefranche 1
Grenoble 0
Schirrhein 1
Sarre Union 6
Saint-Malo 3
Pontivy 0
Orvault 1
Avranches 5
Rodeo 1
Stade Bordelais 0
Genets 1
Stade Montois 2
Guingamp -
TBD -
Ailly sur Somme FC 1
Chantilly 3
Sainte-Marienne 3
Vertou 2
TBD -
GFC Ajaccio -
St Etienne -
TBD -
Colmar 1
Raon L Etape 2
De Volvic 4
Gueret 2
Excelsior 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 0
St. Renan 0
TA Rennes 4
Dunkerque 1
SC Hazebrouck 0
TBD -
Troyes -
Lyon -
TBD -
Lege Capferret 1
Limoges 2
Reims -
TBD -
Orleans 3
Chambly 4
Toulouse -
TBD -
Quevilly 1
Sannois 2
Wasquehal 2
Metz 1
TBD -
PSG -
Sochaux 1
Nancy 0
Alfortville 0
A.S. Pagny 1
Sedan 2
IC Croix 1
TBD -
Bastia -
Thonon-Evian 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Pontcharra St Loup 0
Annecy 5
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Hauts Lyonnais 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Beziers 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Besancon RC 2
Golden Lion 1
TBD -
Angers -
Mantes 2
Marck 0
Brest 0
Stade Briochin 2
Blanc Mesnil 3
Mainvilliers 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Granville 2
Saint Nazaire 0
CPB Brequigny 1
Laval 4
Valenciennes 2
Beauvais 1
Dijon 1
Sarreguemines 2
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Mulhouse 3
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Montelimar 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Trelissac 1
Clermont 0
Montauban 0
AS Muret 3
Amiens AC 1
Maubeuge 0
TBD -
Lille -
Montpellier -
TBD -
Besancon FC 1
Epernay 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/32-finals
Lorient 3
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Boulogne 3
Niort 2
Moulins 1
Villefranche 1
Sarre Union 2
Saint-Malo 2
Avranches 1
Rodeo 0
Stade Montois 1
Guingamp 4
Chantilly 0
Sainte-Marienne 0
GFC Ajaccio 2
St Etienne 2
Raon L Etape 1
De Volvic 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 3
TA Rennes 0
Dunkerque 3
Troyes 4
Lyon 7
Limoges 0
Reims 1
Chambly 4
Toulouse 5
Sannois 0
Wasquehal 0
PSG 1
Sochaux 2
A.S. Pagny 0
Sedan 0
Bastia 2
Thonon-Evian 4
Annecy 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 2
Monaco 10
Bordeaux 3
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Besancon RC 1
Angers 3
Mantes 2
Stade Briochin 0
Blanc Mesnil 0
Nantes 2
Granville 2
Laval 1
Valenciennes 0
Sarreguemines 1
Rennes 3
Nice 2
Mulhouse 1
Bourg Peronnas 3
Trelissac 2
AS Muret 0
Amiens AC 0
Lille 1
Montpellier 1
Epernay 0
Caen 0
Marseille 1
1/16-finals
Lorient 3
Boulogne 1
Niort 0
Sarre Union 1
Saint-Malo 1
Stade Montois 0
Guingamp 0
GFC Ajaccio 3
St Etienne 2
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 1
Troyes 3
Lyon 2
Chambly 0
Toulouse 1
PSG 2
Sochaux 2
Bastia 1
Thonon-Evian 1
Monaco 3
Bordeaux 2
Angers 1
Mantes 0
Nantes 1
Granville 3
Sarreguemines 1
Rennes 1
Bourg Peronnas 3
Trelissac 2
Lille 1
Montpellier 0
Marseille 2
1/8-finals
Lorient 4
Sarre Union 0
Saint-Malo 1
GFC Ajaccio 2
St Etienne 2
Troyes 1
Lyon 0
PSG 3
Sochaux 2
Monaco 1
Bordeaux 3
Nantes 4
Granville 1
Bourg Peronnas 0
Trelissac 0
Marseille 2
Quarter-finals
Lorient 3
GFC Ajaccio 0
St Etienne 1
PSG 3
Sochaux 3
Nantes 2
Granville 0
Marseille 1
Semi-finals
Lorient 0
PSG 1
Sochaux 0
Marseille 1
Final
PSG 4
Marseille 2