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Paiosaco vs Fisterra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fisterra in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fisterra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Paiosaco
15%
Draws
20%
Fisterra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paiosaco lately — more wins on the board than Fisterra.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Paiosaco taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 16%
Fisterra Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paiosaco Fisterra
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Fisterra
1:2
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Fisterra vs Paiosaco
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paiosaco 75 / 100
Fisterra 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paiosaco Fisterra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paiosaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fisterra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Paiosaco scored in 61% of their last 38 outings.

Solid form: Paiosaco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paiosaco VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paiosaco

(Home)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
Page 1 of 8

Fisterra

(Away)
19 Jun
Fisterra
1 : 2
Ribadumia
13 Jun
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Fisterra
06 Jun
Fisterra
0 : 2
Atios
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Fisterra
4 : 2
Barco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 22 14 6 2 37:16 48
2 Lugo B 22 12 6 4 34:17 42
3 Somozas 22 12 5 5 41:21 41
4 Racing Club Villalbes 22 12 4 6 34:26 40
5 Deportivo Fabril 22 9 5 8 41:27 32
6 Silva SD 22 7 9 6 21:20 30
7 Arzua 22 7 8 7 32:23 29
8 Viveiro 22 8 4 10 25:39 28
9 Agrupacion Estudiantil 22 4 8 10 27:45 20
10 CD AS Pontes 22 4 7 11 18:40 19
11 Fisterra 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
12 Paiosaco 22 1 9 12 16:39 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arenteiro 22 13 8 1 33:13 47
2 Arosa SC 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Alondras 22 9 10 3 31:15 37
4 Estradense 22 8 7 7 35:34 31
5 CD Choco 22 8 7 7 28:22 31
6 Rapido de Bouzas 22 8 7 7 25:25 31
7 Barco 22 8 6 8 26:27 30
8 Ourense CF 22 8 4 10 33:29 28
9 Ribadumia 22 7 5 10 24:36 26
10 UD Ourense 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
11 Atios 22 4 8 10 18:32 20
12 Pontellas 22 1 6 15 12:38 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)