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Paiosaco vs Sarriana

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Levrand M.

AI Match Summary

Sarriana in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarriana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Paiosaco
15%
Draws
40%
Sarriana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sarriana have won more games recently than Paiosaco.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 20%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paiosaco Sarriana
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 9 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Sarriana
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Paiosaco
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paiosaco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Sarriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Levrand M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paiosaco 36 / 100
Sarriana 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paiosaco Sarriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarriana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarriana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Paiosaco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paiosaco scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarriana
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paiosaco

(Home)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
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Sarriana

(Away)
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
03 May
Sarriana
3 : 4
Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)