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Paiporta vs Orihuela

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2018/2019 game between Paiporta and Orihuela finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orihuela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Paiporta
20%
Draws
64%
Orihuela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orihuela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Orihuela carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Orihuela here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Paiporta Clean Sheet 22%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paiporta Orihuela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paiporta vs Orihuela
0:3
Aug 26, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Orihuela vs Paiporta
3:0
Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Orihuela vs Paiporta
3:0
Sep 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paiporta vs Orihuela
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paiporta 32 / 100
Orihuela 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paiporta Orihuela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orihuela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orihuela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Paiporta's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Orihuela registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orihuela
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paiporta

(Home)
17 May
Silla CF
4 : 1
Paiporta
12 May
Paiporta
1 : 3
Eldense
05 May
Ilicitano
6 : 2
Paiporta
28 Apr
Paiporta
0 : 3
Villarreal C
19 Apr
Torre Levante
1 : 1
Paiporta
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Orihuela

(Away)
04 Oct
Orihuela
0 : 4
Ciudad Cieza
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2
Orihuela
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orihuela 38 26 8 4 62:21 86
2 La Nucia 38 19 13 6 53:25 70
3 Olimpic Xativa 38 19 12 7 52:29 69
4 Atletico Saguntino 38 18 12 8 47:27 66
5 Crevillente 38 18 11 9 47:34 65
6 Atzeneta 38 16 10 12 48:42 58
7 Espanol de San Vicente 38 15 10 13 41:44 55
8 Roda 38 13 15 10 44:42 54
9 Eldense 38 14 11 13 47:48 53
10 Villarreal C 38 15 7 16 52:44 52
11 Vilamarxant 38 13 11 14 52:49 50
12 Silla CF 38 13 9 16 40:44 48
13 Paterna 38 13 7 18 42:51 46
14 Alzira 38 11 10 17 33:52 43
15 Novelda CF 38 10 13 15 45:51 43
16 Ilicitano 38 9 14 15 42:47 41
17 Acero 38 9 12 17 45:53 39
18 Rayo Ibense 38 9 12 17 39:53 39
19 Torre Levante 38 8 12 18 28:48 36
20 Paiporta 38 4 7 27 30:85 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)