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Paju Frontier vs Cheongju

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Paju Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paju Frontier play Cheongju in the K League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paju Frontier averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Cheongju averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Paju Frontier won 1, Cheongju won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Paju Frontier and 1.25 for Cheongju. This points to a Paju Frontier double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Paju Frontier
35%
Draws
20%
Cheongju
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paju Frontier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Paju Frontier picked up more points recently compared to Cheongju.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Paju Frontier Clean Sheet 19%
Cheongju Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paju Frontier Cheongju
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 2
Draws 5 15
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 K League 2
Paju Frontier vs Cheongju
0:0
Sep 4, 2022 K3 League
Cheongju vs Paju Frontier
2:2
May 8, 2022 K3 League
Paju Frontier vs Cheongju
0:0
Jul 18, 2021 K3 League
Cheongju vs Paju Frontier
0:2
Mar 21, 2021 K3 League
Paju Frontier vs Cheongju
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paju Frontier 44 / 100
Cheongju 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paju Frontier Cheongju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paju Frontier or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paju Frontier attacking → ← attacking Cheongju

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paju Frontier scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Cheongju let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Paju Frontier went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cheongju lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 21
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Busan15103233:2033
2Suwon Bluewings16102422:1432
3Daegu1694335:2231
4Suwon FC1685334:2129
5Seoul E-Land1692528:1929
6Hwaseong1674523:1925
7Chungnam Asan1666424:1924
8Gimpo FC1566319:1624
9Gyeongnam1655620:2520
10Cheonan City1647519:1919
11Yongin FC1638520:2317
12Paju Frontier1652917:2217
13Seongnam1638516:1817
14Cheongju16111419:2714
15Ansan Greeners16421017:2914
16Jeonnam1616918:319
17Gimhae16231113:339