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Pakhtakor II vs Sherdor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga 2014 game between Pakhtakor II and Sherdor finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pakhtakor II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pakhtakor II
15%
Draws
42%
Sherdor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pakhtakor II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sherdor come out ahead of Pakhtakor II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pakhtakor II a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sherdor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pakhtakor II Clean Sheet 11%
Sherdor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor II Sherdor
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 4 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 24 25
Goals Scored 0.94 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2014 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Sherdor
4:0
Aug 29, 2014 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Pakhtakor II
1:0
Oct 4, 2013 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Pakhtakor II
2:1
Sep 6, 2013 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Sherdor
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor II 47 / 100
Sherdor 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor II Sherdor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakhtakor II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sherdor conceded in 91% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Sherdor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Pakhtakor II's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor II VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakhtakor II

(Home)
08 Oct
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Pakhtakor II
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
Page 1 of 7

Sherdor

(Away)
13 Nov
Oktepa Tashkent
4 : 2
Sherdor
06 Nov
Sherdor
0 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
31 Oct
Iftixor
0 : 3
Sherdor
21 Oct
Sherdor
1 : 2
Shortan Guzor
13 Oct
Istiklol Fergana
5 : 0
Sherdor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shortan Guzor 30 25 2 3 88:18 77
2 Kokand 1912 30 23 2 5 75:28 71
3 Obod Tashkent 30 20 3 7 60:32 63
4 Oktepa Tashkent 30 19 4 7 70:41 61
5 Uz Dong Ju Andijon 30 17 1 12 54:41 52
6 Osiyo Tashkent 30 14 5 11 59:46 47
7 Zaamin 30 12 7 11 43:44 43
8 Mashal Muborak II 30 13 4 13 33:44 43
9 Pakhtakor II 30 12 5 13 52:57 41
10 Aral 30 10 4 16 36:38 34
11 Xorazm Urganch 30 8 8 14 37:54 32
12 Alanga 30 9 5 16 39:56 32
13 Sherdor 30 8 5 17 26:63 29
14 Khotira 79 30 7 7 16 41:60 28
15 FK Istiklol Toshkent 30 9 1 20 55:78 28
16 Din. Gallakor 30 1 3 26 35:103 6
Promotion - Professional Football League 2015 (Main)