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Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pakhtakor host Bunyodkor in the Super League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Pakhtakor at 1.57 goals for, 1 against; Bunyodkor at 1.07 for, 1.66 against. Head-to-head, Pakhtakor have won 3 to Bunyodkor's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.88, favoring Pakhtakor. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Pakhtakor
15%
Draws
20%
Bunyodkor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pakhtakor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pakhtakor lately — more wins on the board than Bunyodkor.
  • Pakhtakor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 20%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor Bunyodkor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 2
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.57 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor
0:1
Nov 3, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor
4:2
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor
2:0
Aug 15, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor 85 / 100
Bunyodkor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor Bunyodkor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pakhtakor found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Bunyodkor has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pakhtakor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor VS Bunyodkor
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakhtakor

(Home)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6

Bunyodkor

(Away)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)