Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pakhtakor vs Lok. Tashkent

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Abraev K.
11' Event
Turdimurodov R.
46'
Sub
Turdimurodov R. In: Chinedu S.
Out: Turdimurodov R.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Pakhtakor and Lok. Tashkent finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pakhtakor
33%
Draws
27%
Lok. Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pakhtakor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pakhtakor come out ahead of Lok. Tashkent on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pakhtakor's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor Lok. Tashkent
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Lok. Tashkent
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Lok. Tashkent
3:1
Mar 14, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Pakhtakor
3:0
Oct 24, 2022 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Lok. Tashkent
2:0
May 23, 2022 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Pakhtakor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pakhtakor Compare

Top Goalscorer Turdimurodov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lok. Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Shodiboev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor 40 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor Lok. Tashkent

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pakhtakor found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Pakhtakor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lok. Tashkent has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor VS Lok. Tashkent
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona12101127:431
2Pakhtakor1283123:1327
3Navbahor Namangan1262416:1120
4Buxoro1262416:1320
5OKMK1254317:1619
6Bunyodkor1261514:1419
7Lok. Tashkent1253415:1518
8Nasaf Qarshi1245315:1217
9Andijan1151516:1116
10Xorazm Urganch123459:1513
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Sogdiana1233621:2512
13Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
14Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
15Kokand 19121225510:1611
16Mashal Muborak1210115:213