Sport Picks
Pakhtakor vs Lok. Tashkent
Uzbekistan
Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
8'
8'
Abraev K.
11'
11'
Turdimurodov R.
46'
46'
Sub
Turdimurodov R. In: Chinedu S.
Out: Turdimurodov R.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Pakhtakor and Lok. Tashkent finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lok. Tashkent
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pakhtakor come out ahead of Lok. Tashkent on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 19%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pakhtakor | Lok. Tashkent |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Lok. Tashkent
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Lok. Tashkent
3:1
Mar 14, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Pakhtakor
3:0
Oct 24, 2022 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Lok. Tashkent
2:0
May 23, 2022 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Pakhtakor
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Turdimurodov R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Lok. Tashkent Compare
Top Goalscorer Shodiboev S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pakhtakor 32 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pakhtakor Lok. Tashkent
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Lok. Tashkent conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.
Pakhtakor scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Pakhtakor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pakhtakor VS Lok. Tashkent
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pakhtakor
(Home) 09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
11 Aug
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Al Hussein
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 3
Lok. Tashkent
(Away) 11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
15 Aug
Kokand 1912
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
15 Aug
Kokand 1912
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
01 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
17 Jul
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 49:17 | 48 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 37:19 | 46 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 36:19 | 41 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 36:27 | 35 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 31:27 | 34 |
| 6 | OKMK | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29:28 | 32 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 29:20 | 31 |
| 8 | Andijan | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:24 | 30 |
| 9 | Din. Samarkand | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 37:41 | 28 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 20:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17:29 | 21 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19:29 | 20 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 20:35 | 19 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10:42 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
