Sport Picks
Pakhtakor vs Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbekistan
Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
32'
32'
Gaybullaev G.
42'
42'
Alizhonov K.
Assist: Nasrullaev S.
45'
45'
Xushvaqtov Q.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Pakhtakor and Nasaf Qarshi finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pakhtakor come out ahead of Nasaf Qarshi on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 20%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pakhtakor | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Pakhtakor
1:2
Apr 28, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Nasaf Qarshi
2:2
Nov 20, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:0
Jun 27, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Pakhtakor
2:2
Aug 10, 2024 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Pakhtakor
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Alizhonov K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Top Goalscorer Bakhromov S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abdikholikov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pakhtakor 32 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pakhtakor Nasaf Qarshi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nasaf Qarshi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pakhtakor found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Nasaf Qarshi conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Pakhtakor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pakhtakor VS Nasaf Qarshi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pakhtakor
(Home) 19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
11 Aug
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Al Hussein
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 3
Nasaf Qarshi
(Away) 20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
21 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
