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Pakhtakor vs Obod Tashkent

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017 Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent
Sat, Nov 25, 2017
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pakhtakor host Obod Tashkent in the Professional Football League 2017. Pakhtakor are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Pakhtakor at 1.59 goals for, 1.03 against; Obod Tashkent at 0.47 for, 1.87 against. Head-to-head, Pakhtakor have won 2 to Obod Tashkent's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 25, 2017, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.00) point toward Pakhtakor. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pakhtakor
15%
Draws
0%
Obod Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pakhtakor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pakhtakor come out ahead of Obod Tashkent on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Pakhtakor taking it.
  • Regular Professional Football League 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 20%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor Obod Tashkent
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 2
Draws 9 3
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 1.59 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2017 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Obod Tashkent
0:0
Jun 24, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Pakhtakor
1:4
Nov 22, 2016 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Obod Tashkent
1:1
Jun 30, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Pakhtakor
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor 67 / 100
Obod Tashkent 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor Obod Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Obod Tashkent's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 23 matches.

Away concern: Obod Tashkent has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Pakhtakor scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakhtakor

(Home)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Pakhtakor
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Obod Tashkent

(Away)
25 Nov
Pakhtakor
:
Obod Tashkent
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Shortan Guzor
16 Nov
Metallurg Bekabad
:
Obod Tashkent
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Mashal Muborak
26 Oct
Din. Samarkand
:
Obod Tashkent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lok. Tashkent 30 22 4 4 67:20 70
2 Nasaf Qarshi 30 20 2 8 58:18 62
3 Pakhtakor 30 18 5 7 44:28 59
4 Bunyodkor 30 14 10 6 47:29 52
5 Navbahor Namangan 30 12 10 8 40:37 46
6 Buxoro 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 OKMK 30 12 8 10 31:32 44
8 Mashal Muborak 30 12 8 10 37:31 44
9 Kokand 1912 30 11 8 11 42:47 41
10 Metallurg Bekabad 30 12 4 14 40:39 40
11 Qizilqum 30 9 10 11 31:40 37
12 Din. Samarkand 30 8 8 14 21:35 32
13 Sogdiana 30 8 7 15 33:51 31
14 Shortan Guzor 30 8 3 19 28:52 27
15 Neftchi Fargona 30 6 9 15 23:48 27
16 Obod Tashkent 30 2 3 25 15:52 9
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