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Pakistan U23 vs Nepal U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2018
Pakistan U23 Logo

Pakistan U23

2 - 1
FT
Nepal U23 Logo

Nepal U23

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Younas S.
Own Goal
55' Event
Bilal M.
72' Event
Hussain S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pakistan U23 in this Asian Games 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pakistan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pakistan U23
15%
Draws
85%
Nepal U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Nepal U23 have won more games recently than Pakistan U23.
  • Model gives Pakistan U23 a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Pakistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Nepal U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakistan U23 Nepal U23
Matches Played 20 27
Wins 2 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 0.5 0.48
Goals Conceded 2.7 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2018 Asian Games
Pakistan U23 vs Nepal U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pakistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilal M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hussain S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55

Nepal U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakistan U23 74 / 100
Nepal U23 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakistan U23 Nepal U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakistan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

Away concern: Nepal U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Pakistan U23's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pakistan U23 VS Nepal U23
0.43 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakistan U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Oman U23
1 : 0
Pakistan U23
06 Sept
Pakistan U23
0 : 1
Cambodia U23
03 Sept
Iraq U23
8 : 1
Pakistan U23
12 Sept
Palestine U23
2 : 1
Pakistan U23
09 Sept
Pakistan U23
1 : 3
Bahrain U23
Page 1 of 4

Nepal U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Nepal U23
2 : 4
Syria U23
03 Sept
Tajikistan U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
31 Oct
Lebanon U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
28 Oct
Nepal U23
0 : 6
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U23 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 Palestine U23 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Hong Kong U23 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Laos U23 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
5 Chinese Taipei U23 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Bangladesh U23 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
3 Thailand U23 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Qatar U23 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Syria U23 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 United Arab Emirates U23 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Iraq U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Timor-Leste U23 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Pakistan U23 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 1 1 5:10 4
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
5 United Arab Emirates U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
2 North Korea U23 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Saudi Arabia U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Myanmar U23 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams