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Paks vs Ludogorets

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Erick Marcus
19' Event
Erick Marcus
22' Event
Windecker J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Paks
30%
Draws
51%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ludogorets lately — more wins on the board than Paks.
  • Ludogorets are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Paks Clean Sheet 15%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks Ludogorets
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.56 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Paks vs Ludogorets
2:3
Jan 18, 2020 Club Friendly
Paks vs Ludogorets
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks Compare

Top Goalscorer Toth B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Erick Marcus
2 Goals
Assists Leader Machado M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks 15 / 100
Ludogorets 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks Ludogorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Paks remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ludogorets has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paks VS Ludogorets
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks

(Home)
16 Aug
Puskas Academy
3 : 2
Paks
09 Aug
Paks
2 : 2
Honved
03 Aug
Zalaegerszegi
5 : 2
Paks
30 Jul
Panathinaikos
2 : 2
Paks
26 Jul
Paks
4 : 2
Ferencvaros
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Ludogorets

(Away)
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3
Ludogorets
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
30 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Ludogorets
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