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Palanga vs Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kis T.
14' Event
Morer P.
18' Event
Kis T.

AI Match Summary

The A Lyga 2019 game between Palanga and Zalgiris finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Palanga
15%
Draws
39%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palanga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zalgiris come out ahead of Palanga on wins alone.
  • Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zalgiris here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Palanga Clean Sheet 14%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palanga Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 8 26
Draws 1 4
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.07 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2019 TOPLYGA
Palanga vs Zalgiris
0:4
Jun 23, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Palanga
3:2
Apr 27, 2019 TOPLYGA
Palanga vs Zalgiris
1:4
Mar 3, 2019 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Palanga
5:1
Aug 29, 2018 TOPLYGA
Palanga vs Zalgiris
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palanga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Kis T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Morer P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palanga 15 / 100
Zalgiris 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palanga Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Palanga scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Zalgiris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 42 matches.

Recent resilience: Palanga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zalgiris
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palanga

(Home)
09 Nov
Palanga
2 : 2
Banga
03 Nov
Banga
2 : 0
Palanga
26 Oct
Atlantas
0 : 1
Palanga
12 Oct
Palanga
0 : 4
Suduva
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
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Zalgiris

(Away)
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
16 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 3
Banga
13 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Zalgiris
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)