Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Jimenez H.
48'
48'
Gutierrez C.
49'
49'
Acero A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Palencia CA and Almazan finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CA.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Almazan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Palencia CA come out ahead of Almazan on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 20%
Almazan Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Palencia CA | Almazan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Almazan
4:2
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Palencia CA
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Palencia CA
3:3
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Almazan
3:2
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Almazan
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Palencia CA Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Acero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Almazan Compare
Top Goalscorer Jimenez H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gonzalez O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Palencia CA 32 / 100
Almazan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Palencia CA Almazan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Palencia CA scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
Almazan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Palencia CA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Palencia CA VS Almazan
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Palencia CA
(Home) 12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1 Atletico Tordesillas
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1 Palencia CA
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1 Atletico Tordesillas
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Palencia CF
02 May
Palencia CA
0 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca B
18 Apr
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Leonesa B
Page 1 of 3
Almazan
(Away) 12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca B
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2 Almazan
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1 Mansilles
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2 Almazan
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0 Almazan
19 Apr
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 0 Almazan
04 Apr
Palencia CA
4 : 2 Almazan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
