Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Gutierrez C.
26'
26'
Gordo G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palencia CA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Palencia CA have won more games recently than Briviesca.
- Model gives Palencia CA a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Palencia CA have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 68%
Briviesca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Palencia CA | Briviesca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Briviesca
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Palencia CA
1:3
Apr 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Palencia CA
1:3
Sep 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Briviesca
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Palencia CA Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Briviesca Compare
Top Goalscorer Gordo G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Palencia CA 95 / 100
Briviesca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Palencia CA Briviesca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Palencia CA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Palencia CA found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (38 games).
Defensive concern: Briviesca conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Palencia CA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Palencia CA VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Palencia CA
(Home) 04 Oct
Palencia CA
3 : 0 Unionistas de Salamanca B
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1 Palencia CA
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
Page 1 of 8
04 Oct
Palencia CA
3 : 0 Unionistas de Salamanca B
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Guijuelo
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1 Atletico Tordesillas
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 4
Briviesca
(Away) 11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Almazan
4 : 0 Briviesca
01 May
Briviesca
0 : 1 Atletico Tordesillas
27 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 1 Briviesca
23 Apr
Villaralbo
0 : 0 Briviesca
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Almazan
4 : 0 Briviesca
27 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 1 Briviesca
23 Apr
Villaralbo
0 : 0 Briviesca
17 Apr
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0 Briviesca
06 Apr
Becerril
1 : 0 Briviesca
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Astorga | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 65:25 | 75 |
| 2 | Atletico Tordesillas | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 52:25 | 72 |
| 3 | Burgos CF B | 36 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 45:29 | 60 |
| 4 | Arandina | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 49:35 | 58 |
| 5 | Mirandes B | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 51:41 | 57 |
| 6 | La Virgen | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 44:30 | 57 |
| 7 | Leonesa B | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 54:43 | 55 |
| 8 | Palencia CA | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 53:44 | 54 |
| 9 | Becerril | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | 51 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 11 | Santa Marta Tormes | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 48:41 | 48 |
| 12 | CD Mojados | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36:55 | 44 |
| 13 | Almazan | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 44:47 | 41 |
| 14 | Palencia CF | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39:40 | 40 |
| 15 | Mansilles | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 36:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Bembibre | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 31:53 | 38 |
| 17 | Briviesca | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 28:56 | 32 |
| 18 | Ciudad Rodrigo CF | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 35:55 | 31 |
| 19 | CD Laguna (Valladolid) | 36 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 23:78 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
