Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Gutierrez C.
27'
27'
Montenegro Olivar R.
41'
41'
Garcia I.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 game between Palencia CA and CD Laguna finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CA.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
30%
0%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palencia CA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Palencia CA come out ahead of CD Laguna on wins alone.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Palencia CA taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Palencia CA here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 68%
CD Laguna Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Palencia CA | CD Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs CD Laguna
4:1
Jan 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna vs Palencia CA
0:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs CD Laguna
2:0
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna vs Palencia CA
0:2
Mar 29, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs CD Laguna
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Palencia CA Compare
Top Goalscorer Adeva F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gutierrez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
CD Laguna Compare
Top Goalscorer Montenegro Olivar R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Palencia CA 95 / 100
CD Laguna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Palencia CA CD Laguna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Palencia CA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
CD Laguna lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Palencia CA's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
CD Laguna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Palencia CA VS CD Laguna
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Palencia CA
(Home) 12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1 Atletico Tordesillas
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1 Palencia CA
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1 Atletico Tordesillas
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Palencia CF
02 May
Palencia CA
0 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca B
18 Apr
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Leonesa B
Page 1 of 4
CD Laguna
(Away) 12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
10 May
CD Laguna
1 : 3 Leonesa B
04 May
Palencia CA
4 : 1 CD Laguna
01 May
CD Laguna
1 : 4 Mirandes B
26 Apr
Mansilles
5 : 0 CD Laguna
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Palencia CA
4 : 1 CD Laguna
26 Apr
Mansilles
5 : 0 CD Laguna
17 Apr
Almazan
2 : 2 CD Laguna
06 Apr
Bembibre
3 : 1 CD Laguna
22 Mar
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0 CD Laguna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Astorga | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 65:25 | 75 |
| 2 | Atletico Tordesillas | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 52:25 | 72 |
| 3 | Burgos CF B | 36 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 45:29 | 60 |
| 4 | Arandina | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 49:35 | 58 |
| 5 | Mirandes B | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 51:41 | 57 |
| 6 | La Virgen | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 44:30 | 57 |
| 7 | Leonesa B | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 54:43 | 55 |
| 8 | Palencia CA | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 53:44 | 54 |
| 9 | Becerril | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | 51 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 11 | Santa Marta Tormes | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 48:41 | 48 |
| 12 | CD Mojados | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36:55 | 44 |
| 13 | Almazan | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 44:47 | 41 |
| 14 | Palencia CF | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39:40 | 40 |
| 15 | Mansilles | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 36:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Bembibre | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 31:53 | 38 |
| 17 | Briviesca | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 28:56 | 32 |
| 18 | Ciudad Rodrigo CF | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 35:55 | 31 |
| 19 | CD Laguna | 36 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 23:78 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
