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Palencia CF vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palencia CF play Ciudad Rodrigo CF in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Palencia CF averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Ciudad Rodrigo CF averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Palencia CF won 2, Ciudad Rodrigo CF won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Palencia CF and 1.13 for Ciudad Rodrigo CF. This points to a Palencia CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Palencia CF
24%
Draws
23%
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Palencia CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Palencia CF picked up more points recently compared to Ciudad Rodrigo CF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 21%
Ciudad Rodrigo CF Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CF Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Palencia CF
1:0
Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
4:0
Sep 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Palencia CF
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palencia CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ciudad Rodrigo CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Morinigo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CF 52 / 100
Ciudad Rodrigo CF 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CF Ciudad Rodrigo CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palencia CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Palencia CF & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Palencia CF attacking → ← attacking Ciudad Rodrigo CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CF scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Ciudad Rodrigo CF let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Palencia CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad Rodrigo CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 25
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Astorga36229565:2575
2Atletico Tordesillas362012452:2572
3Burgos CF B361515645:2960
4Arandina361513849:3558
5Mirandes B361691151:4157
6La Virgen361512944:3057
7Leonesa B3615101154:4355
8Palencia CA361315853:4454
9Becerril361491343:5051
10Villaralbo3612141037:2750
11Santa Marta Tormes3611151048:4148
12CD Mojados361281636:5544
13Almazan369141344:4741
14Palencia CF3610101639:4040
15Mansilles369111636:3938
16Bembibre369111631:5338
17Briviesca36882028:5632
18Ciudad Rodrigo CF367101935:5531
19CD Laguna36472523:7819