Sport Picks
Palencia CF vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 
Match Events
71'
71'
Vidorreta Larumbe J.
84'
84'
Morinigo J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 game between Palencia CF and Ciudad Rodrigo CF finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palencia CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Palencia CF carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Palencia CF's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad Rodrigo CF Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Palencia CF | Ciudad Rodrigo CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Palencia CF
1:0
Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
4:0
Sep 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Palencia CF
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Palencia CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Ciudad Rodrigo CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Morinigo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Palencia CF 95 / 100
Ciudad Rodrigo CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Palencia CF Ciudad Rodrigo CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Palencia CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Palencia CF scored in 84% of their last 37 outings.
Ciudad Rodrigo CF has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Palencia CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Palencia CF VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Palencia CF
(Home) 27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0 Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2 Palencia CF
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
31 May
Palencia CF
2 : 3 Guijuelo
17 May
Palencia CF
2 : 0 Palencia CA
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1 Bembibre
Page 1 of 4
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
(Away) 11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
3 : 4 CD Mojados
01 May
Burgos CF B
3 : 0 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
27 Apr
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
1 : 2 La Virgen
20 Apr
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
0 : 1 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
01 May
Burgos CF B
3 : 0 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
20 Apr
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
0 : 1 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
12 Apr
Palencia CA
3 : 1 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
29 Mar
Mansilles
0 : 0 Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Astorga | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 65:25 | 75 |
| 2 | Atletico Tordesillas | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 52:25 | 72 |
| 3 | Burgos CF B | 36 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 45:29 | 60 |
| 4 | Arandina | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 49:35 | 58 |
| 5 | Mirandes B | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 51:41 | 57 |
| 6 | La Virgen | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 44:30 | 57 |
| 7 | Leonesa B | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 54:43 | 55 |
| 8 | Palencia CA | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 53:44 | 54 |
| 9 | Becerril | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | 51 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 11 | Santa Marta Tormes | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 48:41 | 48 |
| 12 | CD Mojados | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36:55 | 44 |
| 13 | Almazan | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 44:47 | 41 |
| 14 | Palencia CF | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39:40 | 40 |
| 15 | Mansilles | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 36:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Bembibre | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 31:53 | 38 |
| 17 | Briviesca | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 28:56 | 32 |
| 18 | Ciudad Rodrigo CF | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 35:55 | 31 |
| 19 | CD Laguna (Valladolid) | 36 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 23:78 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
