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Palermo vs Brescia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2024/2025 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Bisoli D.
28'
Blin A.
57'
Ceccaroni P.

AI Match Summary

Palermo in this Serie B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Palermo
30%
Draws
27%
Brescia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palermo lately — more wins on the board than Brescia.
  • Win probability leans Palermo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%
Brescia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Brescia
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 7
Draws 6 15
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Brescia
1:0
Aug 16, 2024 Serie B
Brescia vs Palermo
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Serie B
Brescia vs Palermo
4:2
Nov 8, 2023 Serie B
Palermo vs Brescia
1:0
May 19, 2023 Serie B
Palermo vs Brescia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 86 / 100
Brescia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Brescia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palermo scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Palermo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brescia has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
Page 1 of 7

Brescia

(Away)
13 May
Brescia
2 : 1
Reggiana
09 May
Modena
2 : 2
Brescia
04 May
Brescia
0 : 0
Juve Stabia
01 May
Cittadella
0 : 1
Brescia
25 Apr
Brescia
1 : 2
Pisa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 38 25 7 6 78:38 82
2 Pisa 38 23 7 8 64:36 76
3 Spezia 38 17 15 6 59:33 66
4 Cremonese 38 16 13 9 62:44 61
5 Juve Stabia 38 14 13 11 42:41 55
6 Catanzaro 38 11 20 7 51:45 53
7 Cesena 38 14 11 13 46:47 53
8 Palermo 38 14 10 14 52:43 52
9 Bari 38 10 18 10 41:40 48
10 Sudtirol 38 12 10 16 50:57 46
11 Modena 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
12 Carrarese 38 11 12 15 39:49 45
13 Reggiana 38 11 11 16 42:52 44
14 Mantova 38 10 14 14 47:56 44
15 Frosinone 38 9 16 13 37:50 43
16 Salernitana 38 11 9 18 37:47 42
17 Sampdoria 38 8 17 13 38:49 41
18 Brescia 38 9 16 13 42:48 39
19 Cittadella 38 10 9 19 30:56 39
20 Cosenza 38 7 13 18 32:56 30
Promotion - Serie A 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Out)