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Palermo vs Catanzaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Pittarello F.
15' Event
Johnsen D.
Assist: Ranocchia F.
32' Event
Pittarello F.
Assist: Di Francesco F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Palermo and Catanzaro finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Palermo
15%
Draws
16%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palermo come out ahead of Catanzaro on wins alone.
  • Model gives Palermo a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Palermo Clean Sheet 18%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Catanzaro
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Catanzaro
2:0
May 17, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
3:0
May 1, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Catanzaro
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pittarello F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 85 / 100
Catanzaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Palermo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Catanzaro let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Catanzaro
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
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Catanzaro

(Away)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)