Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palermo vs Catanzaro

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Pohjanpalo J.
Assist: Pierozzi N.
16'
Sub
Peda P. In: Magnani G.
Out: Peda P.
20'
Johnsen D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Palermo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Palermo
20%
Draws
42%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catanzaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palermo come out ahead of Catanzaro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Palermo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Palermo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palermo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Palermo Clean Sheet 16%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Catanzaro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.96 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Catanzaro
2:0
May 17, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
3:0
May 1, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Catanzaro
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pohjanpalo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Modesto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Catanzaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 75 / 100
Catanzaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Catanzaro has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Palermo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Catanzaro
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
07 Aug
Melbourne City
0 : 2
Palermo
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
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Catanzaro

(Away)
05 Aug
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Giugliano
29 Jul
Catanzaro
3 : 1
Paradiso
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0
Catanzaro
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Monza -
TBD -
Modena 0
Juve Stabia 1
Palermo -
TBD -
Catanzaro 3
Avellino 0
Semi-finals
Monza 4
Juve Stabia 3
Palermo 2
Catanzaro 3
Final
Monza 2
Catanzaro 2