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Palermo vs Juve Stabia

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Joronen J.
11' Event
Leone G.
(Penalty)
44'
Torrasi E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Palermo and Juve Stabia finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Palermo
30%
Draws
19%
Juve Stabia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palermo come out ahead of Juve Stabia on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Palermo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Juve Stabia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.06 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Juve Stabia
1:0
Mar 17, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Juve Stabia
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Palermo
1:0
May 17, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Palermo
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Juve Stabia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Juve Stabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 95 / 100
Juve Stabia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Juve Stabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Juve Stabia conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Palermo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Juve Stabia
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
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Juve Stabia

(Away)
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1
Cesena
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3
Pisa
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Palermo
1 : 0
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)