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Palestine vs Iraq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 Amman International Stadium, Amman
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Match Events

34' Event
Hussein A.
Assist: Bayesh I.
59'
Sub
Seyam T. In: Kaied A.
Out: Seyam T.
63'
Sub
Amyn Y. In: Al Taay M.
Out: Amyn Y.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Palestine and Iraq finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palestine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Palestine
35%
Draws
20%
Iraq
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palestine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Palestine haven't matched Iraq's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Palestine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Palestine Clean Sheet 68%
Iraq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palestine Iraq
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.2 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
Palestine vs Iraq
2:1
Oct 10, 2024 World Championship
Iraq vs Palestine
1:0
Sep 14, 2020 Friendly International
Iraq vs Palestine
0:0
Aug 2, 2019 WAFF Championship
Palestine vs Iraq
1:2
Dec 28, 2018 Friendly International
Iraq vs Palestine
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palestine Compare

Top Goalscorer Abou Ali W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahajneh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Iraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palestine 95 / 100
Iraq 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palestine Iraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palestine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Palestine stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Palestine found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

Iraq's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Palestine VS Iraq
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palestine

(Home)
02 Oct
China
0 : 5
Palestine
30 Sept
Konyaspor
2 : 2
Palestine
28 Sept
Tajikistan
2 : 4
Palestine
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
Page 1 of 5

Iraq

(Away)
29 Sept
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
Iraq
26 Sept
Kuwait
2 : 3
Iraq
23 Sept
Iraq
1 : 1
Oman
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
22 Jun
France
3 : 0
Iraq
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 10 7 2 1 19:8 23
2 Uzbekistan 10 6 3 1 14:7 21
3 United Arab Emirates 10 4 3 3 15:8 15
4 Qatar 10 4 1 5 17:24 13
5 Kyrgyzstan 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
6 North Korea 10 0 3 7 9:21 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Jordan 10 4 4 2 16:8 16
3 Iraq 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
4 Oman 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
5 Palestine 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
6 Kuwait 10 0 5 5 7:20 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 10 7 2 1 30:3 23
2 Australia 10 5 4 1 16:7 19
3 Saudi Arabia 10 3 4 3 7:8 13
4 Indonesia 10 3 3 4 9:20 12
5 China 10 3 0 7 7:20 9
6 Bahrain 10 1 3 6 5:16 6
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)